Title |
Economic Assessment of a Wind Farm Project Using Least Square Monte-Carlo (LSMC) Simulation |
Authors |
김진아(Kim, Jin-A) ; 이종욱(Lee, Jong-Uk) ; 이재희(Lee, Jae-Hee) ; 주성관(Joo, Sung-Kwan) |
DOI |
https://doi.org/10.5370/KIEE.2011.60.1.032 |
Keywords |
Wind farm investment ; Risk factor ; LSMC (Least Square Monte-Carlo) |
Abstract |
The economic value of a wind farm project is influenced by various risk factors such as wind power output and electricity market price. In particular, there is uncertainty in the economic evaluation of a wind farm project due to uncertain wind power outputs, which are fluctuated by weather factors such as wind speed, and volatile electricity market prices. This paper presents a systematic method to assess the economic value and payback period of a wind farm project using Least Square Monte-Carlo (LSMC) simulation. Numerical example is presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed economic assessment method for a wind farm project. |