| Title |
Dynamic Reserve Estimating Method with Consideration of Uncertainties in Supply and Demand |
| Authors |
권경빈(Kwon, Kyung-Bin) ; 박현곤(Park, Hyeon-Gon) ; 류재근(Lyu, Jae-Kun) ; 김유창(Kim, Yu-Chang) ; 박종근(Park, Jong-Keun) |
| DOI |
https://doi.org/10.5370/KIEE.2013.62.11.1495 |
| Keywords |
Dynamic reserve ; Reserve margin ; Spinning reserve ; Short-term reliability of balance ; Forecasting error ; Generator forced outage rate ; Unit commitment |
| Abstract |
Renewable energy integration and increased system complexities make system operator maintain supply and demand balance harder than before. To keep the grid frequency in a stable range, an appropriate spinning reserve margin should be procured with consideration of ever-changing system situation, such as demand, wind power output and generator failure. This paper propose a novel concept of dynamic reserve, which arrange different spinning reserve margin depending on time. To investigate the effectiveness of the proposed dynamic reserve, we developed a new short-term reliability criterion that estimates the probability of a spinning reserve shortage events, thus indicating grid frequency stability. Uncertainties of demand forecast error, wind generation forecast error and generator failure have been modeled in probabilistic terms, and the proposed spinning reserve has been applied to generation scheduling. This approach has been tested on the modified IEEE 118-bus system with a wind farm. The results show that the required spinning reserve margin changes depending on the system situation of demand, wind generation and generator failure. Moreover the proposed approach could be utilized even in case of system configuration change, such as wind generation extension. |