| Title |
A Study on the Weekend Load Forecasting of Jeju System by using Temperature Changes Sensitivity |
| Authors |
정희원(Jeong, Hui-Won) ; 구본희(Ku, Bon-Hui) ; 차준민(Cha, Jun-Min) |
| DOI |
https://doi.org/10.5370/KIEE.2016.65.5.718 |
| Keywords |
Load forecasting ; Weekend load ; Temperature changes |
| Abstract |
The temperature changes are very important in improving the accuracy of the load forecasting during the summer. It is because the cooling load in summer contribute to the increasing of the load. This paper proposes a weekend load forecasting algorithm using the temperature change characteristic in a summer of Jeju. The days before and after weekends in Jeju, when the load curves are quite different from those of normal weekdays. The temperature change characteristic are obtained by using weekends peak load and high temperature data. And load forecasted based on the sensitivity between unit temperature changes and load variations. Load forecast data with better accuracy are obtained by using the proposed temperature changes than by using the ordinary daily peak load forecasting. The method can be used to reduce the error rate of load forecast. |