Title |
Sensitivity Analysis of Temperature on Special Day Electricity Demand in Jeju Island |
Authors |
조세원(Se-Won Jo) ; 박래준(Rae-Jun Park) ; 김경환(Kyeong-Hwan Kim) ; 권보성(Bo-Sung Kwon) ; 송경빈(Kyung-Bin Song) ; 박정도(Jeong-Do Park) ; 박해수(Hae-Su Park) |
DOI |
http://doi.org/10.5370/KIEE.2018.67.8.1019 |
Keywords |
Load forecast ; Jeju island ; Temperature sensitivity ; Basic electricity demand |
Abstract |
In this paper sensitivity analysis of temperature on special day electricity demand of land and Jeju Island is performed. The basic electricity demand per 3 hours is defined as electricity demand that reflects the GDP effect without the temperature influence. The temperature sensitivity per 3 hours is calculated through the relationship between special day electricity demand normalized to basic electricity demand and temperature. In the future, forecast error will be improved if the temperature sensitivity per 3 hours is applied to the special day load forecasting. |