최상열
                     (SangYule Choi)
                     †iD
            
            Copyright © The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers(KIEE)
            
            
            
            
            
               
                  
Key words
               
               Neural Network, Load Forecasting, Demand Controller, Weather Correlation
             
            
          
         
            
                  1. Introduction
               Direct Load Control(DLC) program is an advanced agreement between a power utility
                  and customers to control some customers’ appliances (e.g., air conditioners and water
                  heaters). It is an incentive-based demand response system in which the utility provides
                  the affected customer with financial incentives. After participation in the program,
                  the utility can reschedule or turn on/off the appliances of customers using remote
                  control switches 
               
               The existing DLC program has the following two kind of problems in view point of its
                  functionality.
               
               First, the utility turn on/off customers’ appliances without considering the customer's
                  inconvenience. that causes a lot of customers are reluctant to participate in the
                  DLC program, therefore, the DLC program participation rate is not increasing these
                  days.  
               
               Second, it does not have a functionality to analyze customers’ appliances power consumption
                  pattern according to the season of year, the day of the week, the special days of
                  year(ex : New Year’s day, Thanks giving day). And it also does not have a functionality
                  to analyze load consumption pattern according to the day weather(ex : temperature,
                  humidity, illuminance). If the utility can select customers’ appliances to be turned
                  on/off by considering power consuming pattern during specific time period according
                  to the above, it can avoid customers’ inconvenience when they participate in the DLC
                  program. 
               
               For example, if the utility turn off the customers’ appliances which is unnecessary
                  to be turned on during a specific time(ex: light off during sunny day, air conditioner
                  off during windy day) and it turns on appliances which is needed to be turned on in
                  a specific time(ex : light on during cloudy day). Many customers are will to participate
                  in DLC program.    
               
               In this paper, the author develops weather based intelligent demand controller to
                  analyze correlation between weather condition and customers energy consumption and
                  to predict customers energy consumption under the specific weather condition and special
                  day in order to attract more customers are willing to participate in the DLC program.
                  Presented demand controller includes two functionalities.
               
               One is collecting weather data from weather sensors which is located in outside of
                  building. Another is predicting load consuming pattern by using deep neural networks.
                  The developed demand controller shows its effectiveness. 
               
             
            
                  2. The Design of Intelligent Demand Controller 
               Short term load forecasting techniques have been presented to analyze the pattern
                  of loads consumption until now. In this paper, Deep neural networks is applied to
                  analyze and predict each customers’ appliances power consuming pattern.
               
               
                     2.1 Functional Requirement for Intelligent Demand Controller
                  ■ Data acquisition from outside weather sensors
                  ■ Online weather data collection from Korea Meteorological Administration
                  ■ Telemetered data from CT, PT
                  ■ Database for on-off line weather data  
                     
                  
                  ■ Energy consumption Prediction 
                  ■ On/Off load control by using program logic control
                  ■ Peak power control by energy consumption prediction 
                
               
                     2.2 The Overall Solution Process for Intelligent Demand Controller 
                  In Fig. 1 shows overall architecture for the intelligent demand controller
                  
                  
                     
                     
                           
                           
그림 1 지능형 최대수요전력시스템 구성
                              
                           
                        
                        
                           
Fig. 1 Overall architecture for demand controller 
                              
                           
                         
                     
                  
                  ■ Step 1 : Outside standing weather sensors send a weather data( illuminance, temperature,
                     humidity, wind speed) to the intelligent demand controller
                  
                  ■ Step 2 : Intelligent demand controller collects on-line weather data from Korea
                     Meteorological Administration 
                  
                  ■ Step 3 : By using deep neural networks, intelligent demand controller analyzes the
                     correlation between the customer energy consumption pattern and weather condition.
                     and it predicts the energy consumption in one hour by using weather data from Korea
                     Meteorological Administration.
                  
                  ■ Step 4 : Customers set the target power value of demand controller to the predicted
                     energy consumption value obtained from deep neural networks outcome. That can reduces
                     customers’ inconvenience during demand controller is executed to be turn on/off the
                     customers load. 
                  
                  ■ Step 5 : When intelligent demand controller gets peak control signals from the utility,
                     it turns on/off customers’ load according to the priority which is defined by deep
                     neural networks. 
                  
                  Owing to including power forecasting and load priority functions according to the
                     weather and customer’s preference, Proposed intelligent demand controller can reduces
                     customers inconvenience when they participate in DLC program. 
                  
                
             
            
                  3. The Development of Intelligent Demand Controller 
               
                     3.1 The Development of hardware
                  Proposed intelligent demand controller collects weather data using two ways. the one
                     is collecting on-line weather data from Korea Meteorological Administration. Another
                     is collecting data from stand-alone weather sensors located in the outside of customer
                     building. 
                  
                  In Fig. 2 shows the prototype components of Intelligent demand controller
                  
                  
                     
                     
                           
                           
그림 2 지능형 최대수요전력시스템 구성요소
                              
                           
                        
                        
                           
Fig. 2 The components of demand controller 
                              
                           
                         
                     
                  
                  In Fig. 2, Stand-alone weather sensors sends weather data to data acquisition device via RF
                     signal and data acquisition device data are transmitted to intelligent demand controller
                     via internet. 
                  
                
               
                     3.2 Man-Machine Interface (MMI) 
                  Presented MMI is developed by Window 6.0 CE based C# software and 8 inch touch graphic
                     LCD is used to display variable information about demand controller
                  
                  
                        3.2.1 Main display
                     In Fig. 3 shows Target power, estimated power, base power, current power. and the expected
                        power is displayed graphically through an deep neural networks prediction according
                        to the current temperature.
                     
                     
                        
                        
                              
                              
그림 3 MMI 초기 화면
                                 
                              
                           
                           
                              
Fig. 3 MMI for main display
                                 
                              
                            
                        
                     
                   
                  
                        3.2.2 Network settings 
                     
                        
                        
                              
                              
그림 4 네트웍 셋팅 
                                 
                              
                           
                           
                              
Fig. 4 Display for network settings 
                                 
                              
                            
                        
                     
                     Network settings include not only communication setting between demand controller
                        and stand-alone weather sensors, but also reporting and various event during demand
                        controller operation. 
                     
                   
                  
                        3.2.3 Memory settings
                     Memory settings are not only directly related to the speed of the system, but also
                        allow real-time voltage and current values to be stored for a specific period of
                        time. In Fig. 5 shows a display for memory settings
                     
                     
                        
                        
                              
                              
그림 5 메모리 셋팅
                                 
                              
                           
                           
                              
Fig. 5 Display for memory settings 
                                 
                              
                            
                        
                     
                   
                  
                        3.2.4 Target power value settings
                     
                        
                        
                              
                              
그림 6 목표전력 셋팅
                                 
                              
                           
                           
                              
Fig. 6 Target power value settings 
                                 
                              
                            
                        
                     
                     In Fig. 6, the target power value is determined after deep learning for customers energy consumption
                        prediction is finished. During deep neural netwoks learning, seasonal and monthly
                        energy consumption and external weather data are used. 
                     
                     
                        
                        
                              
                              
그림 7 일반 셋팅
                                 
                              
                           
                           
                              
Fig. 7 General setting
                                 
                              
                            
                        
                     
                     When target power value is determined, customers set the priority of loads which is
                        turned On/Off for the purpose of meeting the target power value for minimizing the
                        bill. 
                     
                   
                  
                        3.2.5 General settings 
                     In Fig. 7 shows controller software and memory upgrade for the controller general function.
                        
                     
                   
                  
                        3.2.6 Daily, monthly, Yearly Report
                     
                        
                        
                              
                              
그림 8 일보, 월보, 년보 화면
                                 
                              
                           
                           
                              
Fig. 8 Display for daily, monthly, yearly report
                                 
                              
                            
                        
                     
                     In Fig. 8 shows customer energy consumption for year, month and day.
                     
                   
                  
                        3.2.7 Deep neural networks learning for predicting customer energy consumption
                     By using deep neural networks learning algorithm, the correlation between customer
                        energy consumption and weather condition is analyzed, Customers  energy consumption
                        according to  temperature, humidity, iIlluminance from outside weather sensors are
                        used to input data of neural network algorithm. And on-line weather data 
                     
                     
                        
                        
                              
                              
그림 9 딥러닝을 이용한 부하예측 프로세스
                                 
                              
                           
                           
                              
Fig. 9 Energy consumption prediction process
                                 
                              
                            
                        
                     
                     from Korea Meteorological Administration are also used to input data. Therefore, intelligent
                        demand controller can predict customers energy consumption in 15 minutes. If predicted
                        power value exceeds target power value, demand controller reschedules the priority
                        of customer’s loads. 
                     
                     In Fig. 9 shows a prediction process for customers energy consumption 
                     
                     
                        
                        
                              
                              
그림 10 딥러닝 초기 화면
                                 
                              
                           
                           
                              
Fig. 10 Initial MMI for deep neural networks learning
                                 
                              
                            
                        
                     
                     
                        
                        
                              
                              
그림 11 딥러닝 처리 과정
                                 
                              
                           
                           
                              
Fig. 11 Deep learning processing 
                                 
                              
                            
                        
                     
                     As shown in Fig. 11, numbers of neural network learning are 5000 times, and input layer 3, hidden layer
                        1 is set to 24, and hidden layer 2 is set to 8. All data used in the above program
                        is based on 15-minute power demand and weather data stored in a real time, and the
                        weights of each neuron in the neural network are stored and used for power prediction.
                        If the predicted power through the above process is greater than the target power
                        values, priority based maximum demand power control is performed, and if it is smaller
                        than the target values, regular power data adjustment control is performed.
                     
                     In korea, DLC program uses 15 minutes accumulated power consumption. Therefore, in
                        this paper, deep neural networks learning uses 15 minutes demanded temperature, humidity,
                        iIlluminance and the special day power consumption value. 
                     
                   
                
             
            
                  4. Conclusion
               Direct Load Control program is an incentive-based demand response system in which
                  the utilities provide the affected customer with a financial incentive in return for
                  turn on/off the appliances of customers using remote control switches regardless of
                  customers preference. Even though utilities should meet the customers satisfaction
                  of energy consumption, the exisiting DLC program can not meet the this kind of satisfaction
                  because they always restricts customers right for turn on/off loads whenever they
                  want. In this paper, the author develops weather based intelligent demand controller
                  to reduce the inconvenience of customer side in order to increase DLC program participant.
                  the developed intelligent demand controller includes software for predicting energy
                  consuming pattern according to weather condition by using deep neural networks and
                  it reduces the inconvenience of customer participant by rescheduling the priority
                  which is prioritized by customers. Prototype intelligent DLC controller is presented
                  to validate this paper and it shows its effectiveness.  
               
             
          
         
            
                  
                     References
                  
                     
                        
                        S. Y. Kang, 2011, Optimized Facility Control for Energy Saving in Smart Building,
                           Journal of Korean Institute of Information Technology, Vol. 9, No. 2, pp. 25-30

 
                      
                     
                        
                        S. Y. Choi, 2015, The Design of Direct Load Control System Using Weather Sensors,
                           Journal of Satellite, Vol. information and communication, pp. 113-116

 
                      
                     
                        
                        S. Y. Choi, 2017, Software for Intelligent Demand Controller, The KIEE Electric Facility
                           Society Autumn Conf

 
                      
                     
                        
                        S. Y. Choi, H. H. Cha, J. H. Lee, 2018, Demand Controller Usint Data Mining, The KIEE
                           Summer Conf., pp. 1311

 
                      
                     
                        
                        H. N. Park, U. M. Kim, J. P. Yoon, NOV. 1998, Active Management for Distribution Automation
                           Systems Using an Object- oriented Model, Trans. KIEE., Vol. 47, No. 11

 
                      
                     
                        
                        S. Y. Choi, Sep 2003, An Feeder Automation System Using Active Database, Journal of
                           the korean Institute of Illuninating and Electrical Engineers, Vol. 17, No. 5, pp.
                           94-102

 
                      
                   
                
             
            저자소개
             
             
             
            
            
               He received his B.S, M.S, and Ph.D degrees in electrical engineering from Sung Kyun
               Kwan University, Suwon, South Korea, in 1996, 1998 and 2002, respectively. 
            
            Since 2004, he has been a Professor in the Department of Mechatronics Engineering,
               Induk University, Seoul, Korea. 
            
            His research interests include demand control, load forecasting and power distribution
               automation